TFTC – Truth for the Commoner
Bitcoin Brief
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Sup, freaks.
The Bitcoin Policy Institute is meeting on Capitol Hill today with Coinbase, River, and Block to push for a de minimis tax exemption that would let you actually spend bitcoin without triggering a taxable event on every cup of coffee. Two weeks ago, we sat down with BPI's David Zell to talk about the push for this provision and the political dynamics around it. Now Coinbase, River, and Block are all at the table together. The coalition is growing, the politics are moving fast, and if this gets done, it changes everything about Bitcoin as a medium of exchange in the United States.
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LEAD STORY
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Bitcoin Policy Institute Brings Coinbase, River, and Block to the Hill for De Minimis Tax Exemption
The Bitcoin Policy Institute is convening a meeting on Capitol Hill today with representatives from Coinbase, River, and Block to advocate for a federal de minimis tax exemption for small bitcoin transactions. The proposed exemption would eliminate the requirement to report capital gains on personal-use transactions below a specified threshold, removing the single biggest friction point preventing Bitcoin from functioning as a medium of exchange in the United States.
Right now, every time you buy a coffee with bitcoin, the IRS treats it as a taxable event. You have to calculate your cost basis, determine whether you had a gain or loss, and report it. Nobody does this, which means everyone who spends bitcoin is technically non-compliant. A de minimis exemption, similar to what already exists for foreign currency transactions, would fix this by exempting transactions below a set dollar amount from capital gains reporting.
What makes today's meeting significant is who's in the room. Two weeks ago, we sat down with BPI's David Zell to discuss the political dynamics around the de minimis push and the importance of getting the entire industry aligned behind Bitcoin's inclusion. That alignment is now happening. Coinbase, River, and Block sitting at the same table on Capitol Hill is exactly the kind of unified front this issue needs. Credit to BPI for building a coalition that bridges Bitcoin-native companies and major exchanges. For this particular initiative, the focus is on engaging legislators directly, making the case to the politicians who will actually vote on the bill. Our conversation with David Zell touched on BPI's broader strategy of engaging the national security and intelligence communities to build durable long-term protection for Bitcoin, but the de minimis fight is a legislative one, and that means getting the right people in the right rooms on the Hill.
The legislative path is still complicated. Lawmakers have to balance innovation with concerns over revenue impact and enforcement. But if this gets done, it flips the script on how the U.S. government classifies Bitcoin. It stops being treated purely as a speculative asset and starts being recognized as what Satoshi designed it to be: peer-to-peer electronic cash. That's not a small shift. That's the foundation for a Bitcoin circular economy in the largest economy on Earth.
Bitcoin tax attorney Andrew Gordon joined TFTC yesterday to break down the IRS's aggressive new audit tactics targeting Bitcoin holders. If you haven't watched it, now's the time. The IRS is not sitting still, and understanding their playbook is essential context for why the de minimis fight matters so much.
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SIGNAL
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Google's TurboQuant Is Being Called "Google's DeepSeek Moment"
Why it matters: A 6x compression in AI memory costs rewrites the economics of every data center on Earth.
Google Research just unveiled TurboQuant, a memory compression algorithm that shrinks AI's working memory by at least 6x without performance loss. The internet is already calling it "Pied Piper" after the HBO show. Cloudflare's CEO called it Google's DeepSeek moment. Memory stocks cratered on the news, with Micron underperforming the SOX by 20% in five days, the largest gap since 2011. If this works at scale, it means the AI compute buildout just got dramatically cheaper, which is deflationary for the entire infrastructure layer that Wall Street was pricing to the moon.
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Circle Froze 16 Business Wallets With the Click of a Button. This Is the CBDC You Were Warned About.
Why it matters: The "private" stablecoin infrastructure operates exactly like a central bank digital currency when it counts.
Circle froze the USDC balances in 16 business hot wallets on March 23, all linked to an undisclosed U.S. civil court case. Not criminal. Civil. The affected businesses couldn't pay vendors, process customer withdrawals, or settle trades. ZachXBT called the action incompetent, noting no clear connection between the wallets. Circle has since quietly unfrozen at least one. Meanwhile, Circle's stock dropped 20% after the Senate's latest draft of the U.S. Clarity Act proposed a complete ban on stablecoin yields. The timing is poetic: the same week Circle demonstrates it can freeze your money on command, lawmakers are debating whether to ban the one feature that made USDC attractive to begin with. This is not an alternative to a CBDC. This IS the CBDC, just wearing a private sector jersey.
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The Fed Lost $18.7 Billion in 2025 While JPM Closes Its Bearish Call and Rabobank Warns of Persistent Inflation
Why it matters: The central bank is bleeding money, the Street is confused, and inflation is not going away.
Three macro stories that belong together. First, the Federal Reserve posted an $18.7 billion loss in 2025, the second consecutive year of losses from holding long-duration bonds while paying higher rates on reserves. Second, JPM just closed its tactical bearish call and flipped to neutral, citing the largest single-day de-grossing since September 2025. Third, Rabobank updated its forecasts: U.S. inflation peaks at 3.3% in April, GDP growth slashed to 1.8% for 2026 and 2027, with WTI oil averaging $98/bbl in Q2. The picture is clear: the institution tasked with managing the money is losing billions, Wall Street can't decide which direction to bet, and inflation is stickier than anyone in Washington wants to admit. In a world where the institution tasked with monetary stability is hemorrhaging billions, Wall Street can't pick a direction, and inflation forecasts keep getting revised upward, Bitcoin's fixed supply and predictable monetary policy offer something increasingly rare: protocol-level certainty in an uncertain world.
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James Check: Spot and On-Chain Look Healthy, Derivatives Scream Chop
Why it matters: The smart money is quietly positioning while leveraged traders get whipsawed.
Checkonchain's James Check published a comprehensive market update breaking down every sector of the Bitcoin market. The verdict: a tale of two halves. The spot, ETF, and on-chain side looks healthy. Top buyers are being progressively flushed out, ETF inflows remain stable, and spot trade volumes are solid. But in derivatives, it's pure chop. Traders get super bearish at the lows and quickly flip bullish on bounces, creating the exact conditions where both sides get liquidated. Check notes the geopolitical backdrop still presents significant risk in the weeks and months ahead. Translation: if you're a holder, the on-chain data says you're fine. If you're a leveraged trader, the market is designed to take your money right now.
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Bitcoin Tax Attorney Andrew Gordon Exposed the IRS's Real Audit Playbook
Why it matters: The IRS is getting smarter about targeting Bitcoiners. You need to be smarter too.
Crypto tax attorney and CPA Andrew Gordon joined TFTC to break down the IRS's aggressive new audit tactics targeting Bitcoin holders. The conversation digs into how the agency is using blockchain analytics, John Doe summonses to exchanges, and new reporting requirements to build cases against people who thought they were flying under the radar. If you hold bitcoin and haven't thought seriously about your tax position, this is essential viewing. The de minimis fight we're covering as today's lead story is the legislative front of this same war.
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Supreme Court Rules 9-0: Hosting Piracy Is Not Copyright Infringement. The Kim Dotcom Case Just Got Weaker.
Why it matters: The highest court in the land just set a precedent that undermines 14 years of DOJ overreach.
The Supreme Court ruled unanimously that knowing your platform hosts piracy and profiting from it is not copyright infringement. Justice Thomas wrote the opinion: "A company is not liable as a copyright infringer for merely providing a service to the public with knowledge that it will be used by some to infringe copyrights." The DOJ has spent 14 years trying to extradite Kim Dotcom from New Zealand for running Megaupload, a platform where users uploaded pirated content. The government's criminal case requires proving a higher standard of intent than the civil case the Court just threw out. This ruling doesn't just matter for piracy. It matters for every platform that hosts user-generated content, including Bitcoin nodes that relay transactions governments don't like.
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Catholic Converts Hit a 20-Year High as the U.S. Religious Map Redraws Itself
Why it matters: Cultural realignment doesn't happen in a vacuum. People are searching for something solid.
Catholic converts in the U.S. have reached a near 20-year high, with Catholics on track to become the largest single religious group, surpassing American Evangelical Protestants. Protestants as a whole will likely still outnumber Catholics, but the trend line is unmistakable. This isn't happening in isolation. It's happening alongside a broader cultural shift where institutions that stood for something specific, that refused to water down their message, are gaining ground against those that tried to be everything to everyone. There's a parallel to Bitcoin here that's worth sitting with: in a world of infinite optionality and infinite noise, the things that win long-term are the ones with a fixed protocol that doesn't bend to popular pressure.
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PRESENTED BY
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DATA SNAPSHOT
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| Bitcoin Price | $71,049 |
| Sats per Dollar | 1,407 |
| Block Height | 942,311 |
| Network Hashrate | 1,018 EH/s |
| Priority Fee | 2 sat/vB |
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| On-Chain Metrics |
| MVRV Ratio | 1.31 Fair value range, not overheated |
| SOPR | 0.990 Coins moving at slight loss on average |
| STH Realized Price | $83,909 Short-term holders underwater |
| NUPL | 0.239 Hope/Fear zone |
| Realized Cap | $1.09T Aggregate cost basis of all coins |
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If this landed, forward it to someone who could use more signal and less noise. Marty's Bent is free, always will be.
See you tomorrow,
Marty Bent
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Follow: @MartyBent · @TFTC21
Nostr: primal.net/marty
YouTube: TFTC · Podcast: tftc.io/podcast
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