
Independent media since 2017
The future won’t wait for you.
The Commoner by Marty Bent. Money, markets, AI, energy and privacy, every weekday.
Free, every weekday. Unsubscribe anytime using the link in each newsletter. By subscribing you agree to our Terms and acknowledge our Privacy Policy. Read recent issues.


Heat Your Home With Bitcoin Mining: The 2026 Guide

The Bitaxe, Explained: The Open-Source Bitcoin Miner Anyone Can Run

The Oil Is Still Moving
John Arnold and I examine Venezuela's rising U.S. crude flows, dark Hormuz transits and how long America can absorb the fuel bill in its competition with China.
The policies sold as fixing wealth inequality are the ones causing it. If you own a home, Bitcoin, or gold, inflation is making you richer. Everyone else is paying for it. @Gary_Brode explains the economic illiteracy behind today's policy debate.
High signal news every weekday. Sign up: tftc.io/commoner

Diesel hit a record $6.51/gal nationally today. That matters because diesel moves goods and runs the heavy equipment you need to build things. Hard to get excited about reindustrializing the country while the fuel bill for doing it keeps climbing. But a few data points are getting lost in the supply shortage fear. Venezuelan crude imports hit their highest rate since mid-2017 at 782,000 barrels/day. Gulf Coast refineries are well-suited for that heavy crude. More oil is also getting through Hormuz than headlines suggest, with flows near 12 million barrels/day. The real question is duration. How long can diesel stay this expensive before it undermines the industrial growth we need?

Someone tell bitcoin it's not mainstream yet.

China is rapidly scaling its AI infrastructure as global data center capex projections nearly double since January 2026, now expected to top $3 trillion by 2030.

xAI just dropped Grok 4.7.

TFTC 794 w/ @Gary_Brode: "People still believe the Federal Reserve has control. It doesn't. The bond market doesn't care what Warsh is doing, nothing stops this train." We discuss: ⚡ Why the Fed lost control ⚡ The AI bubble & OpenAI ⚡ Bitcoin in El Salvador

Christine Lagarde personally blocked Binance from operating in the EU, per the WSJ. Binance was on the cusp of getting licensed under MiCA, the EU's crypto regulatory framework, when Lagarde stepped in and killed it. She wanted "the controversial crypto exchange" kept out entirely. The stated reason? Binance pleaded guilty to AML violations in the US and paid a $4.3B fine. But the real tell is buried deeper in the report: Lagarde was worried Binance would embed dollar-denominated stablecoin dominance across Europe instead of encouraging euro alternatives. The head of the ECB isn't protecting consumers. She's protecting the euro's market share. This is the same woman who called bitcoin "a highly speculative asset used for money laundering" in 2021. The same one who swears central banks will never hold bitcoin. The same one who launched "Pontes" today, a platform to settle tokenized assets in central bank money, while pushing a consumer-facing digital euro by 2027. The pattern is clear: ban the competition, build the surveillance tool, call it innovation. Lagarde doesn't fear crypto crime. She fears losing monetary control. A world where Europeans freely trade dollar stablecoins on Binance is a world where the ECB becomes irrelevant. So she's kicking out the exchange and fast-tracking a programmable euro she controls. Binance withdrew its MiCA application in Greece in June and says it's pursuing authorization in another EU member state. But the message to every crypto company is loud: you're welcome in Europe only if you serve Europe's central bank agenda. The US banned CBDCs by executive order. Europe is sprinting to build one while locking out the alternatives. Two very different visions for the future of money playing out in real time.
The ECB launched "Pontes" to settle tokenized assets in central bank money. They're not adopting bitcoin's innovation, they're co-opting "tokenization" to tighten the grip. The free world doesn't need a central bank's permission to transact.
.@steipete shared a new AI benchmark where models play StarCraft: Brood War against each other. Codex won most games by sending Probes across the map to harass workers. Claude Fable tried to tech up like a real player. Grok logged 11,000 reasoning tokens in one game and never built a single army unit. None of them played beyond beginner level.

Housing affordability has hit an all-time low as the income needed to buy a median-priced home far outpaces median household earnings.
Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng arrives at JPMorgan HQ in NYC to meet Treasury Secretary Bessent and Trade Rep Greer. Trade, AI, and critical minerals top the agenda ahead of Xi's first US visit since 2023.
The policies sold as fixing wealth inequality are the ones causing it. If you own a home, Bitcoin, or gold, inflation is making you richer. Everyone else is paying for it. @Gary_Brode explains the economic illiteracy behind today's policy debate.
High signal news every weekday. Sign up: tftc.io/commoner

Diesel hit a record $6.51/gal nationally today. That matters because diesel moves goods and runs the heavy equipment you need to build things. Hard to get excited about reindustrializing the country while the fuel bill for doing it keeps climbing. But a few data points are getting lost in the supply shortage fear. Venezuelan crude imports hit their highest rate since mid-2017 at 782,000 barrels/day. Gulf Coast refineries are well-suited for that heavy crude. More oil is also getting through Hormuz than headlines suggest, with flows near 12 million barrels/day. The real question is duration. How long can diesel stay this expensive before it undermines the industrial growth we need?

Someone tell bitcoin it's not mainstream yet.

China is rapidly scaling its AI infrastructure as global data center capex projections nearly double since January 2026, now expected to top $3 trillion by 2030.

xAI just dropped Grok 4.7.

TFTC 794 w/ @Gary_Brode: "People still believe the Federal Reserve has control. It doesn't. The bond market doesn't care what Warsh is doing, nothing stops this train." We discuss: ⚡ Why the Fed lost control ⚡ The AI bubble & OpenAI ⚡ Bitcoin in El Salvador

Christine Lagarde personally blocked Binance from operating in the EU, per the WSJ. Binance was on the cusp of getting licensed under MiCA, the EU's crypto regulatory framework, when Lagarde stepped in and killed it. She wanted "the controversial crypto exchange" kept out entirely. The stated reason? Binance pleaded guilty to AML violations in the US and paid a $4.3B fine. But the real tell is buried deeper in the report: Lagarde was worried Binance would embed dollar-denominated stablecoin dominance across Europe instead of encouraging euro alternatives. The head of the ECB isn't protecting consumers. She's protecting the euro's market share. This is the same woman who called bitcoin "a highly speculative asset used for money laundering" in 2021. The same one who swears central banks will never hold bitcoin. The same one who launched "Pontes" today, a platform to settle tokenized assets in central bank money, while pushing a consumer-facing digital euro by 2027. The pattern is clear: ban the competition, build the surveillance tool, call it innovation. Lagarde doesn't fear crypto crime. She fears losing monetary control. A world where Europeans freely trade dollar stablecoins on Binance is a world where the ECB becomes irrelevant. So she's kicking out the exchange and fast-tracking a programmable euro she controls. Binance withdrew its MiCA application in Greece in June and says it's pursuing authorization in another EU member state. But the message to every crypto company is loud: you're welcome in Europe only if you serve Europe's central bank agenda. The US banned CBDCs by executive order. Europe is sprinting to build one while locking out the alternatives. Two very different visions for the future of money playing out in real time.
The ECB launched "Pontes" to settle tokenized assets in central bank money. They're not adopting bitcoin's innovation, they're co-opting "tokenization" to tighten the grip. The free world doesn't need a central bank's permission to transact.
.@steipete shared a new AI benchmark where models play StarCraft: Brood War against each other. Codex won most games by sending Probes across the map to harass workers. Claude Fable tried to tech up like a real player. Grok logged 11,000 reasoning tokens in one game and never built a single army unit. None of them played beyond beginner level.

Housing affordability has hit an all-time low as the income needed to buy a median-priced home far outpaces median household earnings.
Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng arrives at JPMorgan HQ in NYC to meet Treasury Secretary Bessent and Trade Rep Greer. Trade, AI, and critical minerals top the agenda ahead of Xi's first US visit since 2023.
The Commoner
Marty's daily dispatch. The most-read issues of the last 30 days.
Podcasts
The latest episodes. Watch right here, or wherever you listen.
The Round Table
The room is open.
Where Bitcoiners stop reading about the future and start building it — monthly AI-implementation calls, a vetted network of operators, and research that actually matters.
$100/ mo · or $1,000 / yr
Level up- Live AI implementation calls and workshops
- A vetted network of operators and builders — no tourists
- Research briefs when they matter, not on a treadmill
- An always-on private Discord
- Ad-free podcast with post-interview recaps
The Commoner
Truth for the Commoner, every weekday. Money, machines, and the people trying to control both.
Independent writing by Marty Bent at TFTC since 2017. Money, markets, AI, energy and privacy, delivered free to your inbox.
Free, every weekday. Unsubscribe anytime using the link in each newsletter. By subscribing you agree to our Terms and acknowledge our Privacy Policy. Read recent issues.











