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Fed Dot Plot Flips to Hikes: Warsh Kills the Rate-Cut Trade

Fed Dot Plot Flips to Hikes: Warsh Kills the Rate-Cut Trade

Kevin Warsh's debut FOMC meeting held rates steady but flipped the dot plot from projected cuts to projected hikes, killed forward guidance, and revised PCE inflation up to 3.6%. The cheap-money thesis is gone.

Jun 20, 2026
by TFTC Newsdesk
CLARITY Act Needs 7 Democratic Votes Before August Recess

CLARITY Act Needs 7 Democratic Votes Before August Recess

H.R. 3633 is on the Senate floor calendar and the House has promised to move fast. Everything now turns on whether Senate leadership can lock in seven Democratic votes before August recess closes the window.

Jun 20, 2026
by TFTC Newsdesk
Iran Declares Hormuz Closed as MoU Collapses; U.S. Disputes It

Iran Declares Hormuz Closed as MoU Collapses; U.S. Disputes It

Iran's military command announced a closure of the Strait of Hormuz on June 20, 2026, citing U.S. and Israeli violations of the Islamabad MoU signed two days earlier. But U.S. Central Command says ships are still transiting, leaving the shutdown contested.

Jun 20, 2026
by TFTC Newsdesk
CME Sues CFTC Over Bitcoin Perps Approval, Injunction Expected

CME Sues CFTC Over Bitcoin Perps Approval, Injunction Expected

CME Group sued the CFTC on June 18, 2026, arguing the agency's approval of Bitcoin perpetual futures for KalshiEX and Coinbase violated Dodd-Frank. TD Cowen expects CME to seek a preliminary injunction that would shut down U.S. perps before they gain any trading history.

Jun 20, 2026
by TFTC Newsdesk
JPMorgan: Bitcoin Mining Economics 'Worsened' With BTC 19% Below Cost

JPMorgan: Bitcoin Mining Economics 'Worsened' With BTC 19% Below Cost

JPMorgan puts Bitcoin's all-in production cost at $78,000. BTC has traded ~19% below that for five straight months. Public miners sold a record 32,000 BTC in Q1 2026. The network's self-correction mechanism is working. Here's what survives it.

Jun 20, 2026
by TFTC Newsdesk
Strategy Is a Time Bomb: Jamie McAvity
Podcasts

Strategy Is a Time Bomb: Jamie McAvity

Michael Saylor violated his own forward guidance, bought back preferreds and compressed his dividend runway, and is now open to selling bitcoin. Jamie McAvity and I dig into the time bomb, bitcoin mining's generational buying window, and why the AI data center gold rush is sounder than 2021.

Jun 16, 2026
by Marty Bent
Vince Lanci: The Treasury Is Failing You
Podcasts

Vince Lanci: The Treasury Is Failing You

The ECB just confirmed what gold bulls have known for a year: gold has overtaken Treasuries as the world's top reserve collateral asset. Vince Lanci explains the transition, China's vault network, and why Bitcoin is the one exit that can't be co-opted at the on-ramp.

Jun 16, 2026
by Marty Bent
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